In anticipation of the 2008 Annual Boards of Governors Meetings, popularly known as the ‘G-7’, International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Dominique Strauss-Kahn said “the economic crisis we’re in is very serious, but we can solve our problems if we act swiftly and coordinately.” Both the IMF director and World Bank President Robert Zoellick agree that this is a global crisis, and ‘no country is immune’. The leaders claim confidence and cuts in interest rates are the swiftest solutions to the crisis. Confidence is the first tool to be used in response to the economy, and Strauss-Kahn said “if you have the scope for fiscal stimulus, use it.”

The IMF predicts the global economy will have a slow recovery, but will come back starting in the second half of 2009. In order to initiate this growth, the IMF advises action to rejuvenate economic growth. This is why the IMF activated a ‘high access financial program’ yesterday, which will allow the management board to give fast and easily accessible up front payments, while also defining a long-term macroeconomic plan.

The IMF forecasts that the growth rate of developing countries will decline from 6.6% next year to around 4%. They say this is still an acceptable rate of growth, but the deceleration would be so sharp as to feel like a recession. Zoellick said “with the rising economic powers, the G7 countries can work through this crisis by dealing with bad assets, recapitalizing banks, and providing much needed liquidity.” Strauss-Kahn said that, “you can’t say a crisis affects all parts of the world and then develop economic policies that don’t consider the global economy”.

First deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) John Lipsky says that credit deterioration is widening and deepening in the United States. He also says that economic policy makers will need to employ decisive and innovative measures to safeguard financial stability (:43)

 

 Standard Podcast: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

John Lipsky, first deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that despite a decline in the value of the dollar, the US currency will retain its position as the dominant international currency in the future, though possibly sharing the role with the euro. (:27)

 

 Standard Podcast: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

The Brookings Institution held a discussion this afternoon regarding perspectives on the global economic landscape. The panel addressed concerns over the declining value of the dollar, rising inflation, the role of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and what these factors mean for the future of the global economy.

According to John Lipsky, first deputy managing director of the IMF said that the Fund predicts global economic growth will drop an entire percentage point to 4 percent this upcoming year. In addition, Lipsky stated that a primary concern for the upcoming year should be increased inflation, particularly in developing economies.

Lipsky also expressed concern over the continued decline in the value of the dollar. While the United States has seen increased exports as a result of this decline, the drop has been one of the largest sustained episodes of dollar decline in the last 50 years. However, Lipsky said that despite drops in the value of the dollar, he believes it will retain its role as the dominant international currency in the long term, though perhaps sharing it with other powerful currencies like the euro.

Lipsky also predicted an economic slowdown in the EU. He said that this could potentially be more devastating than economic issues in the United States, due to a lack of coordination of financial markets within the EU.

Domenico Lombardi, nonresident senior fellow of the Brookings Institution and president of the Oxford Institute for Economic Policy expressed concern over IMF attempts to regulate currency imbalances. While the organization has been particularly useful with developing economies, Lombardi worries that highly developed nations like the U.S. may be less forthcoming with financial information, and less cooperative with policies and oversight from the Fund.

At the Housing Crisis and Lessons for Monetary Policy discussion hosted by the Brookings Institution, Economic Counselor and Director of the International Monetary Fund Simon Johnson predicts a “minor contraction” for the U.S. economy this year, followed by a “slow recovery” next year. He also talks about the spillover effects of the U.S. housing market into other nations, and predicts a decline in global growth projection. (0:43)

 

 Standard Podcast [0:43m]: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download

At a discussion on the Housing Crisis and Lessons for Monetary Policy at the Brookings Institute today, International Monetary Fund Economic Counselor and Director Simon Johnson predicted a “mild contraction” in the U.S. economy this year followed by a “relatively slow recovery” next year. Johnson discussed the link between housing and mortgage finance and said that the link between monetary policy and housing is stronger because of recent governmental intervention in the current crisis.

IMF Senior Economist Roberto Cardarelli said that over the last four quarters, residential investment has contributed 56% to the decline in U.S. GDP, “and by that standard, we are very much in a recession environment in the United States.” Cardarelli said another cause for concern is the impact of housing prices on the decline in consumption, which further stunts economic growth. He also emphasized that inflation rates need to change in order to stabilize inflation and minimize loss.