McKiernan: It could get worse before it gets better

The commander of the International Assistance Force in Afghanistan wants it known– Afghanistan is not Iraq.

“I find it sometimes, not very helpful to compare Iraq and Afghanistan. I think they are two very different environments,” said Gen. David McKiernan during a press briefing at the Pentagon.

McKiernan has been the ISAF commander for four months at a time when political attention seems to be returning to Afghanistan. “The environment there is even more complex than I would have thought prior to my arrival. It’s complex in terms of geography, it’s complex in terms of demographics, of resources, or more specifically the lack of resources…the lack of the availability of people who can provide governance in Afghanistan…”

There is a growing acknowledgement in the U.S. government and the Department of Defense that there can not be a solution in Afghanistan without addressing growing problems with terrorism and unrestrained lawlessness in the tribal areas of Pakistan. McKiernan said that the heaviest fighting in Afghanistan is along the border regions with Pakistan, in Regional Commands East and South. “We’re at a higher level of violence this time this year than we were last year. In the east and south we are seeing a greater amount of insecurity in certain areas…The idea that it might get worse before it gets better is certainly a possibility in Afghanistan.”

In eastern Afghanistan, McKiernan reported violence is up and there has been an increase in foreign fighters. Because of this change, McKeirnan said, “the additional military capabilities that have been asked for are needed as quickly as possible.” McKiernan has asked for four brigade combat teams, including enabling parts such as helicopters and logistics support for Afghanistan, adding to the request made by his predecessor Gen. Daniel McNeil.

The Secretary of Defense Robert Gates recently testified to the Senate Armed Services Committee that three to four additional combat brigade teams may be deployed to Afghanistan in the summer of 2009.

McKeirnan said that because of the nature of the conflict in Afghanistan he can’t define what success should look like. “It’s important that winning is seen in Afghan terms,” he cautioned. “Winning in Afghanistan is about the future of the Afghan government and it’s about extending the authority of a legitimate Afghan government that meets the needs the meets of the people there. It’s not about the future of NATO. It’s not about any coalition success. It’s about Afghans.”